The scenarios presented here are based on two overarching strategic uncertainties, which
we have called “Governance” and “Ecological Footprint”. These are uncertainties that we
have deemed of the highest strategic importance in terms of their influence on the usage
of and impacts on the Baltic Sea. Thus trends and uncertainties provide the structure for
our exploration of the future.
Through an exploration of these trends on the directions that the Baltic region could go in
terms of Governance and Ecological Footprint, we emerge with four scenarios describing
possible states for the Baltic Sea region in 2030.