The International Food Policy Research
Institute’s (IFPRI’s) International Model for Policy
Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade
(IMPACT) provides insight into the management of
these risks through appropriate policy actions. By
projecting future global food scenarios to 2050, the
IMPACT model explores the potential implications
of policy inaction and action in several main risk
areas and the effects on child malnutrition in the
developing world, commodity prices, demand,
cereal yields, production, and net trade.
In this paper we present three scenarios of different
policy alternatives, involving varying risks
and opportunities: a progressive policy actions scenario,
a policy failure scenario, and a technology
and natural resource management failure scenario.
We further explore new and salient food and nutrition
security dimensions related to each of the scenarios.