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The future of democracy in the face of climate change

FDSD’s work on the future of democracy in the face of climate change is grounded in two hypotheses:
- First, that climate change will impact on democracy, when democracy is understood as a political system (see Paper Two). Democracy itself could even be threatened by climate disruption and related emergencies in some parts of the world if suitable mitigation and adaptation strategies are not adopted as soon as possible (as discussed later in this paper).

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The great shift - Macroeconomic projections for the world economy at the 2050 horizon

We present growth scenarios for 147 countries to 2050, based on MaGE (Macroeconometrics of the Global Economy), a three-factor production function that includes capital, labour and energy. We improve on the literature by accounting for the energy constraint through dynamic modelling of energy productivity, and departing from the assumptions of either a closed economy or full capital mobility by applying a Feldstein-Horioka-type relationship between savings and investment rates.

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The BP energy outlook 2030

BP’s annual Energy Outlook contains our projections of future energy trends and factors that could affect them, based on our views of likely economic and population growth and developments in policy and technology. Together with the annual Statistical Review of World Energy, it has become a respected contribution to the global discussion on energy and I am pleased with the feedback we are receiving.

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Exxon Mobile - The outlook for energy 2013

The Outlook for Energy is ExxonMobil’s long-term view of our shared energy
future. We develop the Outlook annually to assess future trends in energy supply,
demand and technology to help guide the long-term investments that underpin
our business strategy.
This year’s Outlook reveals a number of key findings about how we use energy,
how much we will need in the future and what types of fuels will meet demand.

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_PwC_ World in 2050 The BRICs and Beyond - Prospects, challenges and opportunities

The world economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050, doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050.
China is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2017 in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms and by 2027 in market exchange rate terms. India should become the third ‘global economic giant’ by 2050, a long way ahead of Brazil, which we expect to move up to 4th place ahead of Japan.

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SwissRe - Building a sustainable energy future - Risks and opportunities

With an expanding population and world
economy powered by oil, coal and gas,
fossil fuels have become a large part
of our daily lives. But this has come at
a price: greenhouse gas emissions,
which adversely affect our climate.
How much higher will this price rise
before we achieve a more sustainable
energy system? The Scenarios for
Climate Change project, a research
collaboration by Swiss Re and partners
from the public and private sectors,
gives insights into what tomorrow

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TFC - Women 2020 - How women’s actions and expectations are changing the future

"Women represent just under half the global
population and are the fastest growing group
of consumers worldwide. Yet analyses of their
role in society are often one-dimensional and
linear. Usually, the examination focuses on how
social and economic conditions exert changes
on women’s roles and identities.
This paper inverts that perspective by exploring
how women act as catalysts for fundamental
changes, which are shaping not just their own
world, but everybody’s world.
We show that understanding women is

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WEF - The future role of civil society

The Future Role of Civil Society project was launched in June
2012 with the desire to explore the rapidly evolving space in which
civil society actors operate. The project focuses on two central
−− What might the contextual environment for civil society look like
in 2030?
−− How might models of engagement for civil society, business,
government and international organizations evolve in these new
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs), labour leaders, faithbased

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Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations

The companion to the research reported here, Global-Change Scenarios: Their Development and Use, explores
the broader strategic frame for developing and utilizing scenarios in support of climate decision making.
The scenarios in this report were developed using integrated assessment models (IAMs). These analysis capabilities integrate
computer models of socioeconomic and technological determinants of the emissions of GHGs with models of the natural science

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