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Renewable Energy Scenario to 2040

Two scenarios have been considered
in this briefing :
1. Advanced international
policies scenario (AIP)
The assumptions in this scenario are based on
ambitious growth rates for renewable energy
sources that need additional support measures
in order to be reached.Dynamic current policies scenario (DCP)
Dynamic current policies does not mean “business as
usual”. Assuming that a “business as usual” is seen as
impossible for a sustainable future by a lot of decision

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The Energy Report 2050: 100% Renewable Energy by 2050

WWF has a vision of a world that is
powered by 100 per cent renewable energy
sources by the middle of this century.
Unless we make this transition, the
world is most unlikely to avoid predicted
escalating impacts of climate change.
But is it possible to achieve 100 per cent
renewable energy supplies for everyone
on the planet by 2050? WWF called
upon the expertise of respected energy
consultancy Ecofys to provide an answer
to this question. In response, Ecofys has
produced a bold and ambitious scenario -

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Public Debt in 2020: Monitoring fiscal risks in developed markets

We construct a public debt risk matrix that
ranks countries with respect to the risks stemming from debt levels
as well as from debt structures. In Chapter 3 we use our new
scenario framework, which explicitly takes a government‟s debt
structure into account, to project public debt dynamics over the next
ten years. In the baseline scenario we assume a policy of fiscal
consolidation, with the consolidation pace varying across countries.
In the “no-policy-change” scenario we project the debt levels that

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Scenarios for the poorest 2030

Outsights was retained by the UK’s Department for International Development to
develop a number of scenarios for the future of the very poorest, to stimulate new
thinking and to look for ways in which the future can be changed. An implicit
assumption behind the focus on the very poorest is that even if the Millennium
Development Goals are reached by 2015, many of the poorest will miss out
entirely or remain in serious poverty.
A wide and varied group of 70 stakeholders from 10 countries participated in the

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Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

Every scenario project has a focal question —
a broad yet strategic query that serves as an
anchor for the scenarios. For this project, the
focal question was:
How might technology affect barriers to
building resilience and equitable growth
in the developing world over the next
15 to 20 years?
In other words, what new or existing
technologies could be leveraged to improve
the capacity of individuals, communities,
and systems to respond to major changes, or
what technologies could improve the lives of

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Shell Global Scenarios to 2025 - Executive Summary

The Global Scenarios to
2025 released in 2005
build on this foundation
to develop an enhanced,
robust methodology that
addresses a broader
range of strategic and
planning needs across
the whole spectrum of
relevant time horizons
and contexts.
Hence the transition that
has occurred from a threeyear
scenario cycle to
an annual one. This will
provide greater continuity
while also enabling
fl exible contributions to
Group processes for
identifying critical risks

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Shell Global Scenarios to 2025 - Supplement

The Global Scenarios to
2025 are structured around
both pre-determined trends
and critical uncertainties.
The predetermined trends
are common across each of
the three of the scenarios.
The critical uncertainties,
which overlay the relatively
certain trends, are used to
build credible alternative
visions of what the future may
hold. The contrasting ways in
which these uncertainties are
resolved critically shape the
alternative scenarios for the
global business environment.

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Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations

The companion to the research reported here, Global-Change Scenarios: Their Development and Use, explores
the broader strategic frame for developing and utilizing scenarios in support of climate decision making.
The scenarios in this report were developed using integrated assessment models (IAMs). These analysis capabilities integrate
computer models of socioeconomic and technological determinants of the emissions of GHGs with models of the natural science

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The Bellona Scenario: How to combat global warming

Bellona has set out to show how to combat global warming. Across the economy, we have
searched for solutions that already are available or on the verge of becoming so. We have
analyzed findings from both scientific publications and various reports prepared by industry and
environmental organizations.
Bellona is certainly not the first to undertake such an effort; numerous studies have been
published by academics, think-tanks, environmental organizations and governments alike. The

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