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Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

Every scenario project has a focal question —
a broad yet strategic query that serves as an
anchor for the scenarios. For this project, the
focal question was:
How might technology affect barriers to
building resilience and equitable growth
in the developing world over the next
15 to 20 years?
In other words, what new or existing
technologies could be leveraged to improve
the capacity of individuals, communities,
and systems to respond to major changes, or
what technologies could improve the lives of

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Scenarios for the poorest 2030

Outsights was retained by the UK’s Department for International Development to
develop a number of scenarios for the future of the very poorest, to stimulate new
thinking and to look for ways in which the future can be changed. An implicit
assumption behind the focus on the very poorest is that even if the Millennium
Development Goals are reached by 2015, many of the poorest will miss out
entirely or remain in serious poverty.
A wide and varied group of 70 stakeholders from 10 countries participated in the

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Scenarios for 2040

There are, perhaps, three fundamental questions which we believe that we have addressed:
Will the international community address what we have called "systems
issues", and if so how will they do this? By this, we mean all of those concerns that
arise when hitherto isolated populations and commercial systems come into intimate
contact with each other: issues connected with security, law and policing, with
environmental and resource balances, with public health and related issues.

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Renewable Energy Scenario to 2040

Two scenarios have been considered
in this briefing :
1. Advanced international
policies scenario (AIP)
The assumptions in this scenario are based on
ambitious growth rates for renewable energy
sources that need additional support measures
in order to be reached.Dynamic current policies scenario (DCP)
Dynamic current policies does not mean “business as
usual”. Assuming that a “business as usual” is seen as
impossible for a sustainable future by a lot of decision

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The Energy Report 2050: 100% Renewable Energy by 2050

WWF has a vision of a world that is
powered by 100 per cent renewable energy
sources by the middle of this century.
Unless we make this transition, the
world is most unlikely to avoid predicted
escalating impacts of climate change.
But is it possible to achieve 100 per cent
renewable energy supplies for everyone
on the planet by 2050? WWF called
upon the expertise of respected energy
consultancy Ecofys to provide an answer
to this question. In response, Ecofys has
produced a bold and ambitious scenario -

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Public Debt in 2020: Monitoring fiscal risks in developed markets

We construct a public debt risk matrix that
ranks countries with respect to the risks stemming from debt levels
as well as from debt structures. In Chapter 3 we use our new
scenario framework, which explicitly takes a government‟s debt
structure into account, to project public debt dynamics over the next
ten years. In the baseline scenario we assume a policy of fiscal
consolidation, with the consolidation pace varying across countries.
In the “no-policy-change” scenario we project the debt levels that

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The Bellona Scenario: How to combat global warming

Bellona has set out to show how to combat global warming. Across the economy, we have
searched for solutions that already are available or on the verge of becoming so. We have
analyzed findings from both scientific publications and various reports prepared by industry and
environmental organizations.
Bellona is certainly not the first to undertake such an effort; numerous studies have been
published by academics, think-tanks, environmental organizations and governments alike. The

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The decade ahead: Preparing for an unpredictable future in the global chemical industry

Strategic Trends provides a measure of context and coherence in an
uncertain predictive area characterized by risk, ambiguity and change.
The DCDC approach goes beyond identifying the potential future military threats to which
our Armed Forces will have to respond, and looks at the developments in areas that will
shape the wider strategic context within which Defence will have to interact. For example,
the Study addresses subjects such as: access to resources, the evolving international
system and developments in Society.

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The Expanding Middle: The Exploding World Middle Class and Falling Global Inequality

The middle class get a lot of attention, particularly in
developed economies. They are held up frequently as the
engine of growth, the bastion of social values and the
arbiter of elections. And in many countries, the
commentary increasingly paints the picture of an
embattled and shrinking middle class, fighting against a
rising tide of inequality.
Within much of the developed world, parts of this picture
are justified and the last decade has seen income
disparities increase in a range of places. But globally, the

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Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration

The four Primary Care 2025 scenarios developed by IAF and described in this report include a scenario for
primary care from the “zone of conventional expectation” (Scenario 1); a scenario for primary care from “zone of
growing desperation” (Scenario 2); and two scenarios from the “zone of high aspiration” (Scenarios 3 and 4). At
the September 2011 national workshop, participants reviewed the Primary Care 2025 scenarios and provided their
insights and recommendations which are summarized in this document.

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