Never before has humanity faced such a challenging outlook for
energy and the planet. This can be summed up in five words:
“more energy, less carbon dioxide”.
To help think about the future of energy, we have developed two scenarios that
describe alternative ways it may develop. In the first scenario – called Scramble –
policymakers pay little attention to more efficient energy use until supplies are tight.
Likewise, greenhouse gas emissions are not seriously addressed until there are major
climate shocks. In the second scenario – Blueprints – growing local actions begin to
address the challenges of economic development, energy security and environmental
pollution. A price is applied to a critical mass of emissions giving a huge stimulus to
the development of clean energy technologies, such as carbon dioxide capture and
storage, and energy efficiency measures. The result is far lower carbon dioxide emissions.