This report presents the main outcome of the study “Impact Analysis of CAP Reform on the Main
Agricultural Commodities” providing projections for each year from 2005 until 2015 for individual
Member States, for the aggregates EU-10, EU-15, EU-25 and EU-27. The study was carried out by the
AGMEMOD Partnership under the management of the Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI,
the Netherlands), in cooperation with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre - Institute for
Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS).
AGMEMOD is an econometric, dynamic, partial equilibrium, multi-country, multi-market model. The
AGMEMOD models provide extensive details of the agricultural sector in individual EU Member States
and the EU as a whole.
The objectives of the study were threefold:
i) To provide market projections for the main European agricultural commodities based on the
latest agricultural and trade policy developments and information available;
ii) To assess the impacts of selected scenarios on the main European agricultural commodity
markets. In particular, these scenarios concern the introduction of decoupling and new direct
payment schemes as well as the enlargement of the EU in 2007;
iii) To apply and improve an agricultural sector model for the enlarged EU, implemented in standard
computer software (GAMS and MS Excel), and to make a preliminary version operational and
available for the European Commission

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European Commission

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