Farming

An uncertain future means a range of plausible outcomes. Unlike previous research, including our own (for example, Nelson et al. 2009), which relied
on a single baseline scenario of GDP and population, this research uses three

The purpose of this report is to address the need for a simplified way to present and explain the
linkages between climate change and the various components.
To achieve this goal, this report was developed under the following guiding principles:
1. The analysis is based on the scientific evidence and conclusions from the IPCC Fourth
Assessment Report (AR4).
1 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Article 2
The Impacts of Climate Change on Food Production: A 2020 Perspective - ii

Project aim: to explore the pressures on the global food system between now and 2050 and
identify the decisions that policy makers need to take today, and in the years ahead, to ensure that
a global population rising to nine billion or more can be fed sustainably2 and equitably.
The global food system will experience an unprecedented confluence of pressures over the next
40 years. On the demand side, global population size will increase from nearly seven billion today to

This report is a summary of a workshop organised by ILRI and FAO and held over three days in
February at the ILRI campus in Nairobi. The workshop was designed to be a means of involving
specialists and getting them thinking about various aspects of the future of livestock sector
development and their implication in developing countries. It involved livestock scientists, colleagues
from the private sector and NGOs, and researchers who do scenario modelling including qualitative

These scenarios formed part of an 18-month
‘futures’ process which brought the whole UK
dairy supply chain together to create a vision and
framework for a sustainable industry. Together
they can be used to build sustainability strategies,
raise awareness about challenging longer-term
issues that may need to be addressed, and
inspire innovation in the industry and among its
stakeholders.
The Dairy 2020 scenarios in this document are not
predictions or depictions of desirable futures which

ABARE, Australian Commodities, vol. 14 no. 1 March Quarter 2007. Global merchandise trade liberalisation would be expected to generate substantial benefits for the international community, including Australia. Two illustrative merchandise trade reform scenarios, analysed here, provide broad insights into the probable changes in agricultural trade.

Like many industries around the world, the Australian grains industry is keen to ensure its long-term sustainability. The Grains Council of Australia (GCA), with the support of the Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC), commissioned CSIRO Resource Futures Program to undertake an initial examination of the future sustainability of the grains industry. This analysis took a long-term, strategic view of the grains industry within the context of agriculture as a whole, rural landscapes and regional economies. Key objectives of the consultancy were to: