Global

Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration is a project developed by the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF)
with support from the Kresge Foundation to consider the range of forces, challenges, and opportunities shaping
primary care in the United States. Complex change comes as new technologies meet an aging society in a time
of growing economic and political divides. This is not a time for reactive decisions based only on a view of past
trends in health care. The inherently uncertain future of primary care in a time of great flux means that a systemic

FDSD’s work on the future of democracy in the face of climate change is grounded in two hypotheses:
- First, that climate change will impact on democracy, when democracy is understood as a political system (see Paper Two). Democracy itself could even be threatened by climate disruption and related emergencies in some parts of the world if suitable mitigation and adaptation strategies are not adopted as soon as possible (as discussed later in this paper).

We present growth scenarios for 147 countries to 2050, based on MaGE (Macroeconometrics of the Global Economy), a three-factor production function that includes capital, labour and energy. We improve on the literature by accounting for the energy constraint through dynamic modelling of energy productivity, and departing from the assumptions of either a closed economy or full capital mobility by applying a Feldstein-Horioka-type relationship between savings and investment rates.

BP’s annual Energy Outlook contains our projections of future energy trends and factors that could affect them, based on our views of likely economic and population growth and developments in policy and technology. Together with the annual Statistical Review of World Energy, it has become a respected contribution to the global discussion on energy and I am pleased with the feedback we are receiving.

The Outlook for Energy is ExxonMobil’s long-term view of our shared energy
future. We develop the Outlook annually to assess future trends in energy supply,
demand and technology to help guide the long-term investments that underpin
our business strategy.
This year’s Outlook reveals a number of key findings about how we use energy,
how much we will need in the future and what types of fuels will meet demand.

The world economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050, doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050.
China is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2017 in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms and by 2027 in market exchange rate terms. India should become the third ‘global economic giant’ by 2050, a long way ahead of Brazil, which we expect to move up to 4th place ahead of Japan.

With an expanding population and world
economy powered by oil, coal and gas,
fossil fuels have become a large part
of our daily lives. But this has come at
a price: greenhouse gas emissions,
which adversely affect our climate.
How much higher will this price rise
before we achieve a more sustainable
energy system? The Scenarios for
Climate Change project, a research
collaboration by Swiss Re and partners
from the public and private sectors,
gives insights into what tomorrow

"Women represent just under half the global
population and are the fastest growing group
of consumers worldwide. Yet analyses of their
role in society are often one-dimensional and
linear. Usually, the examination focuses on how
social and economic conditions exert changes
on women’s roles and identities.
This paper inverts that perspective by exploring
how women act as catalysts for fundamental
changes, which are shaping not just their own
world, but everybody’s world.
We show that understanding women is

The Future Role of Civil Society project was launched in June
2012 with the desire to explore the rapidly evolving space in which
civil society actors operate. The project focuses on two central
questions:
−− What might the contextual environment for civil society look like
in 2030?
−− How might models of engagement for civil society, business,
government and international organizations evolve in these new
contexts?
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs), labour leaders, faithbased