The Global Risks Report 2016

The World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2016, developed in collaboration with Zurich Insurance Group and other leading institutions, features scenarios to help companies and organizations examine the trends and driving forces behind future global developments.
The scenarios are based on three possible dystopian futures called: Walled Cities, Strong Regions, and War and Peace.

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The World in 2050

The world economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050,
doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050.
China is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2017 in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms
and by 2027 in market exchange rate terms. India should become the third ‘global economic giant’ by 2050, a
long way ahead of Brazil, which we expect to move up to 4th place ahead of Japan.
Russia could overtake Germany to become the largest European economy before 2020 in PPP terms and by

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G7
G20

The future of democracy in the face of climate change

FDSD’s work on the future of democracy in the face of climate change is grounded in two hypotheses:
- First, that climate change will impact on democracy, when democracy is understood as a political system (see Paper Two). Democracy itself could even be threatened by climate disruption and related emergencies in some parts of the world if suitable mitigation and adaptation strategies are not adopted as soon as possible (as discussed later in this paper).

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_PwC_ World in 2050 The BRICs and Beyond - Prospects, challenges and opportunities

The world economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050, doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050.
China is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2017 in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms and by 2027 in market exchange rate terms. India should become the third ‘global economic giant’ by 2050, a long way ahead of Brazil, which we expect to move up to 4th place ahead of Japan.

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G7
G20

SwissRe - Building a sustainable energy future - Risks and opportunities

With an expanding population and world
economy powered by oil, coal and gas,
fossil fuels have become a large part
of our daily lives. But this has come at
a price: greenhouse gas emissions,
which adversely affect our climate.
How much higher will this price rise
before we achieve a more sustainable
energy system? The Scenarios for
Climate Change project, a research
collaboration by Swiss Re and partners
from the public and private sectors,
gives insights into what tomorrow

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World Energy Technology Outlook 2050

WETO-H2 is structured around a business-as-usual case, and features two specific scenarios
that reflect the political will of Europe to be at the forefront of the struggle against climate
change and to promote new clean energy technologies:
The “reference case” describes the developments of the world energy system up to 2050, and
the related CO2 emissions assuming a continuation of existing economic and technological
trends. Without determined action, energy demand will double and electricity demand will

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Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050

With this study WEC seeks to contribute further
to the debate on global energy sustainability and
to the understanding of prospective collective
roles in achieving WEC’s mission, “to promote
the sustainable supply and use of energy for the
greatest benefit of all.” The study aims to:
1 Energy for Tomorrow’s World, World Energy Council,
London, 1993.
2 Global Energy Perspectives, World Energy Council,
London, 1998.
3 Energy for Tomorrow’s World: Acting Now, World Energy
Council Statement 2000, London.

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Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050

Never before has humanity faced such a challenging outlook for
energy and the planet. This can be summed up in five words:
“more energy, less carbon dioxide”.
To help think about the future of energy, we have developed two scenarios that
describe alternative ways it may develop. In the first scenario – called Scramble –
policymakers pay little attention to more efficient energy use until supplies are tight.
Likewise, greenhouse gas emissions are not seriously addressed until there are major

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Global Scenarios to 2025

This economic growth was mainly driven by a two-speed world economy in which
populous emerging markets, such as China and India, were growing at more than 10%
and 8%, respectively. As a result, an economic shift in gravity away from OECD
countries to Asia is already on its way. This high economic growth has resulted in an
unprecedented demand for ultimately depletable natural resources. With population levels
rising from the current 6.6 billion people to an estimated 8.0 billion people by 2025, it is

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