Planning for the growth of the Older Adult Population in Howard County

These scenarios are based on the research conducted
including:
- scans of national and local trends in aging across a wide range of
disciplines
- an inventory of current Howard County programs and services,
and
- original research into the possibilities that technology and societal
changes might bring.
Each scenario includes a short vignette describing life in 2035, a list of key
highlights, and a narrative describing what happened between 2015 and
2035. Discussion of the scenarios among Advisory Committee members and
others led to definition of the “preferred future” used as a basis for planning
recommendations in the main body of this report.

Subject and Keywords:

WEF - Sustainable health systems - Visions, strategies, critical uncertainties and scenarios

Three scenarios were developed: Health Incorporated, New Social Contract and Super-empowered Individuals. The scenarios provided a key insight – efficiency gains are necessary to move health systems towards greater sustainability, but are insufficient alone.
In Health Incorporated, the boundaries of the health industry are redefined. Corporations provide new products and services as markets liberalize, governments cut back on public services and a new sense of conditional solidarity emerges.

Subject and Keywords:

Sustainable Health Systems - Visions, Strategies, Critical Uncertainties and Scenarios

The World Economic Forum has made health a priority global initiative, recognizing it as central to the Forum’s overall mission to improve the state of the world. Looking at health as a fundamental economic issue, the Forum aims to address two major gaps-access to health and access to care - making health and care an investment for economic development and growth.

Subject and Keywords:

IAF - Primary Care 2025, A Scenario Exploration

Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration is a project developed by the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF)
with support from the Kresge Foundation to consider the range of forces, challenges, and opportunities shaping
primary care in the United States. Complex change comes as new technologies meet an aging society in a time
of growing economic and political divides. This is not a time for reactive decisions based only on a view of past
trends in health care. The inherently uncertain future of primary care in a time of great flux means that a systemic

Subject and Keywords:

Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration

The four Primary Care 2025 scenarios developed by IAF and described in this report include a scenario for
primary care from the “zone of conventional expectation” (Scenario 1); a scenario for primary care from “zone of
growing desperation” (Scenario 2); and two scenarios from the “zone of high aspiration” (Scenarios 3 and 4). At
the September 2011 national workshop, participants reviewed the Primary Care 2025 scenarios and provided their
insights and recommendations which are summarized in this document.

Subject and Keywords:

Tackling Obesities: Future Choices Visualising the Future: Scenarios to 2050

The Values axis shows behaviours reflecting a priority to self at one end and
priority to the community and wider society at the other. This axis allows the
exploration of fundamental shifts in societal values as to where the balance of
responsibility lies. This is particularly useful when considering obesity, which can
be viewed at the level of individual responsibility or at the level of societal
responsibility.
The Nature of Response axis shows future resource challenges – such as water,

Subject and Keywords:

Scenarios for Health Expenditure in Poland

The report is a result of the Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health
Expenditure (AHEAD) project within the EC 6th Framework programme. The objective of
the research was to present the model of future health care system revenues and
expenditures in Poland and to discuss projection assumptions and results. The projections
are based on methodology adopted in the International Labour Organization (ILO) Social
Budget model. The projection examines impact of demographic changes and changes in

Subject and Keywords:

Development of Scenarios for Health Expenditure in the New EU Member States: Bulgaria, Estonia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia

The report is a result of the Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health
Expenditure (AHEAD) project within the EC 6th Framework programme. The objective of
the research was to present the model of future health care system revenues and
expenditures in selected Central and Eastern European countries (CEE) which are now
the New EU Member States, and to discuss projection assumptions and results. Selected
countries include Bulgaria, Estonia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. The projections are

Subject and Keywords:

The coming of age

When a steamroller is coming down the road, you have three choices: Get out of the way, run to
stay ahead of it, or lie down and get your clothes pressed.
The steamroller is age — old age — and it will remake our society in the first half of the 21st
century. Everything from census numbers to personal experiences underscores the aging of our
state and nation. The Coming of Age explores Arizona’s capacity to handle this soon-to-be
“gerontocracy” in positive ways.

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Nutrition and Health 2020

The Nutrition & Health 2020 project was conceived
to generate deep insight into future developments in
the nutrition & health area. Based on the ideas and
expertise of a wide range of stakeholders, it has resulted
in a set of future scenarios that:
• describe different ways in which the nutrition &
health trend may evolve and impact upon our society;
• provide new and deeper insight in the interaction
of driving forces, arguments and values that will
shape this future environment;

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