Planning for the growth of the Older Adult Population in Howard County

These scenarios are based on the research conducted
- scans of national and local trends in aging across a wide range of
- an inventory of current Howard County programs and services,
- original research into the possibilities that technology and societal
changes might bring.
Each scenario includes a short vignette describing life in 2035, a list of key
highlights, and a narrative describing what happened between 2015 and
2035. Discussion of the scenarios among Advisory Committee members and
others led to definition of the “preferred future” used as a basis for planning
recommendations in the main body of this report.

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The World in 2050

The world economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050,
doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050.
China is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2017 in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms
and by 2027 in market exchange rate terms. India should become the third ‘global economic giant’ by 2050, a
long way ahead of Brazil, which we expect to move up to 4th place ahead of Japan.
Russia could overtake Germany to become the largest European economy before 2020 in PPP terms and by

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