Location

Latitude: 35.861660000000
Longitude: 104.195397000000

China 2020: Three scenarios

Scenario One: page 8
Fragmentation
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) faces escalating demands from a range of
actors who have slowly chipped away at its legitimacy and capacity. When faced
simultaneously with a major national disaster and an international crisis—during
a time of power transition—the CCP is unable to respond effectively and its very
survival is at risk.

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