Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050

Never before has humanity faced such a challenging outlook for
energy and the planet. This can be summed up in five words:
“more energy, less carbon dioxide”.
To help think about the future of energy, we have developed two scenarios that
describe alternative ways it may develop. In the first scenario – called Scramble –
policymakers pay little attention to more efficient energy use until supplies are tight.
Likewise, greenhouse gas emissions are not seriously addressed until there are major

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